DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PEMBANGUNAN EKONOMI D. I. YOGYAKARTA 2001-2017
Simulasi dengan Analisis Sistem Persamaan Simultan
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29244/ijsa.v4i4.654Keywords:
economic development, policy simulation, simultaneous equationsAbstract
Economic development includes increasing economic growth and alleviating poverty. D.I Yogyakarta is a province with the lowest economic growth and per capita income compared to other provinces in Java. Besides, it has the highest poverty rate. With this condition, it is feared that economic development and economic contribution in D.I Yogyakarta which are relatively low are difficult to increase. This study aims to analyze the simultaneous relationship between indicators of economic development in the province of D.I Yogyakarta, explores the variables that influence it, and perform policy simulations to improve economic development. The indicators used to describe economic growth in this study are Regional Gross Domestic Product (regional GDP), household consumption, and community savings in banks. While the indicators that are used to reflect the poverty level are the percentage of poor people. The estimation method used is simultaneous Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) equation system which consisted of three structural equation and one identity equation using the historical data from the year 2001-2017. The results of the simulation show a 6% increase in government expenditure can improve economic growth to 5.41% and reduce the percentage of poor people by 0.41% points.
Downloads
References
Gujarati, D. N., & Porter, D. C. (2012). Basic econometrics. Tata McGraw-Hill Education.
Irhamni. (2018). Pengaruh jumlah penduduk, pengangguran, dan pengeluaran pemerintah terhadap kemiskinan di Indonesia tahun 1986-2015. Jurnal Pendidikan Dan Ekonomi, 7(1): 88–97.
Mankiw, N. G. (2003). Macroeconomics (8th edition). New York (US): Worth Publishers.
Maulidah, F., & Soejoto, A. (2017). Pengaruh tingkat pendidikan, pendapatan dan konsumsi terhadap jumlah penduduk miskin di provinsi Jawa Timur. Jurnal Ekonomi Pendidikan Dan Kewirausahaan, 3(2): 227–240.
Muana, N. (2005). Makro Ekonomi, Teori, masalah dan kebijakan. Jakarta (ID): PT. Raja Grafindo Persada.
Ningsih, E., Amar, S., & Idris. (2013). Analisis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Konsumsi dan Tabungan di Sumatera Barat. Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi, 1(2): 261–282.
[PEMDA DIY] Pemerintah Daerah D.I Yogyakarta. (2013). Rencana Pembangunan Jangka Menengah Daerah (RPJMD) D.I Yogyakarta tahun 2013-2017. Yogyakarta (ID): Pemerintah Daerah D.I Yogyakarta.
Sangaji, M. (2009). Fungsi Konsumsi Rumah Tangga di Indonesia (Pendekatan Model Koreksi Kesalahan). Journal of Indonesian Applied Economics, 3(2): 150–165.
Sitanggang, H. (2013). Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Konsumsi Di Provinsi Sumatera Utara (PhD Thesis). UNIMED, Medan (ID).
Sukirno, S. (2004). Makroekonomi teori pengantar. Jakarta (ID): PT Raja Grafindo Perkasa.
Tusianti, E. (2018). Determinan daya beli Indonesia 2010-2017. Jakarta (ID): Badan Pusat Statistik.
