DETERMINAN PEMILIHAN MODA TRANSPORTASI PEKERJA KOMUTER JABODEBATEK DENGAN MODEL REGRESI LOGISTIK MULTINOMIAL MULTILEVEL
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29244/ijsa.v3i1.184Keywords:
bayesian, commuter, modal choice, multilevel, multinomial logitAbstract
The BPS noted that commuters in Jabodetabek had increased by 400 thousand people from 2001 to 2014. The BPS also recorded that around 81,3% of the commuters in Jabodetabek were workers. A growing number of commuter workers in Jabodetabek makes transportation is very important to support the connection of suburban area and workplace in Jakarta. The result showed that 73% of the commuter workers used private transportation, 19% used ground public transportation and the rest of commuter workers used train. This research use Jabodetabek Commuter Survey 2014 as the main source data to shed light on how socioeconomic factors and spatial attributes affect the selection of a primary mode of transportation for commuter workers. Using multilevel multinomial logistic regression, the result confirm that the age, sex, marital status, ownership of vehicle, travel distance and time have a significant effect in explaining train choice. Furthermore, the result also showed that the age, sex, marital status, income, ownership of vehicle, travel distance and cost are found to be significant in explaining ground public transportation choice.
Downloads
References
Ariana, I. (2004). Karakteristik Wilayah dan Pola Persebaran Penduduk Komuter DKI Jakarta [Tesis]. Depok: Universitas Indonesia.
Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional. (2004). SITRAMP: The Study on Integrated Transportation Master Plan for Jabodetabek. Jakarta: BAPPENAS.
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2009). Profil Komuter Hasil SUPAS 2005. Jakarta: BPS.
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2014). Statistik Komuter Jabodetabek. Jakarta: BPS
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2015). Statistik Mobilitas Penduduk dan Tenaga Kerja 2015. Jakarta: BPS.
Browne, W. J. (2016). MCMC Estimation in MLwiN. Bristol: University of Bristol.
Gonzales, P., Banos, J.F., Mayor, M., & Suarez, P. (2013). Determinants of Ground Transport Modal Choice in Long-Distance in Spain. Gijon, Spanyol.
Handiyatmo, D. (2009). Penggunaan Jenis Transportasi oleh Pelaku Mobilitas Ulang Alik di Enam Kawasan Metropolitan (Analisis Data SUPAS 2005) [Tesis]. Depok: Universitas Indonesia.
Hosmer, D., Lemeshow, S., & Sturdivant, R.X. (2013). Applied Logistic Regression 3rd Edition. New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Hox, J. J. (2010). Multilevel Analysis: Techniques and Applications (2nd ed). New York: Routledge
Maas, C.J.M., & Hox, J. J. (2005). Sufficient Sample Sizes for Multilevel Modeling. Utrecht: Hogrefe & Huber.
Setyawan, H. (2012). Kualitas Pelayanan Transportasi (Studi Kasus Transjakarta Busway di Provinsi Daerah Khusus Ibukota Jakarta) [Tesis]. Depok: Universitas Indonesia.
Setyodhono, S. (2017). Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Pekerja Komuter di Jabodetabek Menggunakan Moda Transportasi Utama. Warta Penelitian Perhubungan, Volume 29, Nomor 1.
Snijders, T., & Bosker, R. (1999). Multilevel Analysis: An Introduction to Basic and Advanced Multilevel Modeling. London: Sage.
Spiegehalter, D. J., Best, N. G., Carlin, B. P., & Linde, A. v. (2002). Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit. Cambridge, UK: Royal Statistical Society.